IJsland, Griekenland en 28 andere rampenlanden

Top dertig landen die (volgens analisten van Credit Suisse) waaraan het gevaarlijk geld uitlenen is (via Here is the City)

1. IJsland
2. Griekenland
3. Hongarije
4. Portugal
5. Spanje
6. Letland
7. Ierland
8. Oekraïne
9. Roemenië
10. Litouwen
11. Turkije
12. Bulgarije
13. Egypte
14. India
15. Italië
16. Verenigde Staten
17. Estland
18. Polen
19. Kazakhstan
20. Indonesië
21. Nieuw Zeeland
22. Argentinië
23. Filipijnen
24. Brazilië
25. Tsjechië
26. Colombia
27. Australië
28. Japan
29. Verenigd Koninkrijk
30. Zuid Afrika

De hele top tien is Europees! En acht daarvan zijn EU-lidstaten.

Opvallend: waar is België?

Comments

[Geplaatst door: Marcel Klok]

Dat de hele top tien Europees is, is niet echt opvallend. Immers bevat deze top 30 "countries which [...] pose the most risk for European banks." Zie Here is the City.

[Geplaatst door: AW]

Bedankt voor die link.

Ik zat eerder te denken aan iets anders en niet iets speculatiefs.

Hoe kunnen we de Grieken helpen maar dan ook zodanige manier dat we er aan kunnen verdienen?

Zomaar geld uitlenen werkt niet (denk afrika).

Kunnen we eigenaar worden van belangrijke punten in de economie ; infrastructuur, ICT, onderwijs, havens, etc...

[Geplaatst door: Mathijs]

RE: AW

Hoe verdienen? Zie hier: http://blogs.z24.nl/boumans_blog/2010/02/hoe-wordt-je-rijk-van-de-griekse-problemen.html

[Geplaatst door: AW]

Hoe kunnen we verdienen aan deze situatie en met deze kennis?????

[Geplaatst door: charles cartwright]

Beste Mathijs,

Ik moet hier de dissident stem zijn,volgende uw post over het Griekse crisis, hiermee waarom:

As former chief Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg writes this week:

"First the governments bail out the banks who were (are) basically insolvent. Then these governments, especially in Europe, see their balance sheets explode and face escalating concerns over sovereign default. The IMF now predicts that the government debt-to-GDP ratio in the G20 nations will explode to 118% by 2014 from pre-crisis levels of around 80%.

Now, the ball is put back onto the banks because many have exposure to the areas of Europe that are facing substantial fiscal problems right now. According to the Wall Street Journal, U.K. banks have $193 billion of exposure to Ireland. German banks have the same amount of exposure and an additional $240 billion to Spain. Many international bond mutual funds also have sizeable exposure to sovereign debt of Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain as well. Contagion risks are back. Stay defensive and expect to see heightened volatility.

In a nutshell, toxic assets have basically been swept under the rug in the hopes that we will outgrow the problem. Leverage ratios across every level of society are still reaching unprecedented levels as the public sector sacrifices the sanctity of its balance sheet in its quest to stabilize the dubious financial position of the household and banking sectors in many parts of the world.

Whatever bad assets have been resolved have almost entirely been placed on the books of governments and central banks, which now have their own particular set of risks, as we have witnessed very recently in places like Dubai, Mexico, and Greece, not to mention at the state and local government level in the United States. We simply have not seen a reduction in the percentage of properties with mortgages that are “under water”, hence the FDIC has identified 7% of banking sector assets ($850 billion) that are in “trouble”, so how can it possibly be that the financial system is anywhere close to some stable equilibrium?

When accurately measured, including the shadow inventory from bank foreclosures, there is still nearly two year’s worth of unsold housing inventory in the United States, and commercial vacancy rates are poised to reach unprecedented highs, and this excess supply is bound to unleash another round of price deflation and debt defaults this year. The balance sheets of governments are rapidly in decline across a broad continuum, and it is particularly questionable as to whether Europe is in sound enough financial shape to weather another banking-related storm.

The global economy is set to cool off. Not only is China and India warding off inflation with credit tightening measures but most of the fiscal and monetary stimulus thrust in the U.S.A. and Canada is behind us as well. And, the fiscal tourniquet is about to be applied in many parts of Europe, especially the PIIGS (referring to Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain — these countries account for a nontrivial 37% of Eurozone GDP). Greece’s GDP has already contracted by 3.0% YoY, as of Q4, and is expected to contract 1.1% in 2010 and 0.3% in 2011 as a 13% deficit-to-GDP ratio is sliced from 13% to 3% (assuming this fiscal goal can be achieved politically). Portugal has a 9.2% deficit-to-GDP ratio that is in need of repair and Spain has a deficit ratio that is even worse, at 11.4% of GDP.

The bottom line is that even if the fiscally-challenged countries of Europe do not end up defaulting, or leaving the Union, the reality is that they will have to take draconian measures to meet their financial obligations. Devaluation was the answer in the past in Greece but it cannot rely on that quick fix this time around without leaving EMU and if it did, then that could make it even harder to service its Euro-denominated debts — at least not without a restructuring. And, if Greece did attempt at a debt restructuring, rest assured that Italy, Spain, Portugal and Ireland would be next — we are talking about a combined $2 trillion of potential sovereign debt restructuring that would more than triple the $600 billion direct cost of the Lehman bankruptcy."